Florida Panthers
FLA · 29-26-6
1–3
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 30-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
011015124150
BUF
01429110333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 29-26-6 · BUF 30-23-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers fell to the Sabres
The Panthers created the better chances (4.4 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Craig Anderson stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 50 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 4.4 xG · 50 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
2.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 2nd 03:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 08:44 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 08:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 10:36 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 79.
FLA 79%BUF 21%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 2nd 03:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 08:44 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 08:24 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 10:36 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
3
Anthony Duclair, Eetu Luostarinen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
49/50 saves · 1 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.