Florida Panthers
FLA · 34-27-7
9–5
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 27-36-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
71921607942
MTL
36113111530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
FLA 34-27-7 · MTL 27-36-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
Panthers beat the Canadiens
The Panthers earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.3, and a 9–5 win to show for it. Jake Allen allowed 4.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
FLA 4.5 xG · 42 shots
MTL 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 00:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Colin White · 1st 02:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 03:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
· 1st 05:20 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Gustav Forsling · 1st 06:04 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
· 1st 08:18 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 09:09 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Ryan Lomberg · 1st 10:33 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Sam Reinhart · 1st 12:22 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 13:18 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
· 2nd 02:26 · 7–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
12
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 05:31 · 8–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
13
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 07:33 · 9–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
14
Rem Pitlick · 3rd 05:47 · 9–5 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 80.
FLA 80%MTL 20%
Goals and penalties
14 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 00:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Colin White · 1st 02:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 03:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
· 1st 05:20 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Gustav Forsling · 1st 06:04 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
· 1st 08:18 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 09:09 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Ryan Lomberg · 1st 10:33 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Sam Reinhart · 1st 12:22 · GWG · 6–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 13:18 · 7–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
· 2nd 02:26 · 7–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
12
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 05:31 · PP · 8–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
13
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 07:33 · 9–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
14
Rem Pitlick · 3rd 05:47 · PP · 9–5
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
7
Eetu Luostarinen, Aleksander Barkov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–3
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.