Florida Panthers
FLA · 35-27-7
4–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 44-18-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
016014411441
NJD
011212012235
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 35-27-7 · NJD 44-18-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers beat the Devils
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Panthers erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Reinhart's equalizer — and won 4–2. The Panthers owned the 1st period, 1.5 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.1, on 41 and 35 shots on goal.
FLA 3.6 xG · 41 shots
NJD 2.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nico Hischier · 2nd 02:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jesper Boqvist · 2nd 07:43 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 06:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 07:54 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 08:44 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:39 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 74.
FLA 74%NJD 26%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nico Hischier · 2nd 02:16 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jesper Boqvist · 2nd 07:43 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 06:14 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 07:54 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 08:44 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.