FLA
2–6
TOR
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 36-29-7
2–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 43-19-9
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
112113010235
TOR
1103928627
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
FLA 36-29-7 · TOR 43-19-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
Panthers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Panthers were outchanced (3.1 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 35 shots on goal.
FLA 2.2 xG · 35 shots
TOR 3.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 05:05 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 14:25 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 01:20 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:57 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Nick Cousins · 2nd 11:43 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:21 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 14:23 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 15:49 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 35.
FLA 35%TOR 65%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 05:05 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 14:25 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 01:20 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:57 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Nick Cousins · 2nd 11:43 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:21 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 14:23 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 15:49 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Brandon Montour, Carter Verhaeghe · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
5
Aleksander Barkov, Josh Mahura · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
