Florida Panthers
FLA · 40-31-7
2–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 37-32-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
11401418236
BUF
11408018140
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–1
FLA 40-31-7 · BUF 37-32-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–1
Panthers beat the Sabres
Chances were even (4.2 to 4.1 expected goals); the Panthers won 2–1. Alex Lyon stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.2 expected goals to 4.1, on 36 and 40 shots on goal.
FLA 4.2 xG · 36 shots
BUF 4.1 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 1.2
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 08:58 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 15:47 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 00:59 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 51.
FLA 51%BUF 49%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 08:58 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 15:47 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 00:59 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Brandon Montour, Aleksander Barkov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/40 saves · 1 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.