Florida Panthers
FLA · 41-31-7
7–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 37-35-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21051208730
OTT
022119117258
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 41-31-7 · OTT 37-35-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers beat the Senators
The Panthers were outchanced (5.7 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 7–2 anyway. Alex Lyon stopped 3.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 5.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 58 and 30 shots on goal.
FLA 2.5 xG · 30 shots
OTT 5.7 xG · 58 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.4 · 1.4
2nd
1.7 · 2.5
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 07:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 14:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 01:24 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 04:25 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 07:48 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 09:25 · 5–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
7
Nick Cousins · 2nd 15:38 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
8
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 17:00 · 7–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Ridly Greig · 3rd 16:19 · 7–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 13.
FLA 13%OTT 87%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 07:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 14:03 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 01:24 · SH · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 04:25 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 07:48 · PP · 4–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 09:25 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
7
Nick Cousins · 2nd 15:38 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
8
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 17:00 · 7–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Ridly Greig · 3rd 16:19 · 7–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
56/58 saves · 2 GA · 5.7 xGA
Stopped 3.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.