Florida Panthers
FLA · 42-31-8
1–2
Final / OTL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 48-21-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
01501611104146
TOR
08170713225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–3
FLA 42-31-8 · TOR 48-21-11 · Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–3
Panthers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Panthers created the better chances (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Tavares's goal. Ilya Samsonov stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 46 and 25 shots on goal.
FLA 3.4 xG · 46 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
OT
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brandon Montour · 3rd 09:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · OT 04:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 64.
FLA 64%TOR 36%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:47 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brandon Montour · 3rd 09:36 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · OT 04:38 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
2
Carter Verhaeghe, Marc Staal · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–1
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
45/46 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.