Florida Panthers
FLA · 1-2
2–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0804219231
BOS
17112216435
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
FLA 1-2 · BOS 2-1 · Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
Panthers fell to the Bruins
The Panthers were outchanced (3.8 to 3.1 expected goals) and lost 2–4. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
FLA 3.1 xG · 31 shots
BOS 3.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
3rd
1.8 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Hall · 1st 02:26 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 06:00 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
David Pastrnak · 3rd 08:32 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nick Foligno · 3rd 11:45 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 14:41 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 15:59 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 39.
FLA 39%BOS 61%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Hall · 1st 02:26 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 06:00 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
David Pastrnak · 3rd 08:32 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nick Foligno · 3rd 11:45 · 0–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 14:41 · SH · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 15:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
8/9 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.