Florida Panthers
FLA · 1-3
2–6
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
015112117244
BOS
11218411631
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Panthers trail the series 1–3
FLA 1-3 · BOS 3-1 · Game 4 — the Panthers trail the series 1–3
Panthers fell to the Bruins
The Panthers were outchanced (4.1 to 3.1 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 31 and 44 shots on goal.
FLA 3.1 xG · 44 shots
BOS 4.1 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.8 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brad Marchand · 1st 09:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 01:52 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 16:00 · 1–2 · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 02:26 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:11 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 08:05 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Taylor Hall · 3rd 16:24 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Taylor Hall · 3rd 19:31 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 36.
FLA 36%BOS 64%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brad Marchand · 1st 09:45 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 01:52 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 16:00 · 1–2
Between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 02:26 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:11 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 08:05 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Taylor Hall · 3rd 16:24 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Taylor Hall · 3rd 19:31 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Carter Verhaeghe, Brandon Montour · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.