FLA
1–2
TOR
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 7-4
1–2
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0708110125
TOR
0611514225
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Panthers lead the series 3–1
FLA 7-4 · TOR 5-5 · Game 4 — the Panthers lead the series 3–1
Panthers fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.6 expected goals); the Panthers lost 1–2. Joseph Woll stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 25 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 2nd 03:29 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Mitch Marner · 3rd 10:03 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 12:13 · 1–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 56.
FLA 56%TOR 44%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 2nd 03:29 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Mitch Marner · 3rd 10:03 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 12:13 · PP · 1–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
