FLA
3–2
VGK
Final / OT · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-6
3–2
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 14-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
15081911323
VGK
161130602227
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
FLA 13-6 · VGK 14-6 · Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
Panthers beat the Golden Knights
The Panthers were outchanced (3.5 to 2.7 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Verhaeghe's goal anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 23 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 23 shots
VGK 3.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.9
3rd
1.1 · 1.1
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 04:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mark Stone · 1st 16:03 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 14:59 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 17:47 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · OT 04:27 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 37.
FLA 37%VGK 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 04:08 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mark Stone · 1st 16:03 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 14:59 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 17:47 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · OT 04:27 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
