FLA
2–3
VGK
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-7
2–3
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 15-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
01217112231
VGK
11221108331
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Panthers trail the series 1–3
FLA 13-7 · VGK 15-6 · Game 4 — the Panthers trail the series 1–3
Panthers fell to the Golden Knights
The Panthers were outchanced (4.0 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
FLA 2.2 xG · 31 shots
VGK 4.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chandler Stephenson · 1st 01:39 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 07:28 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 11:04 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Montour · 2nd 16:09 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 03:50 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 23.
FLA 23%VGK 77%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chandler Stephenson · 1st 01:39 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 07:28 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 11:04 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Montour · 2nd 16:09 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 03:50 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Nicolas Hague, Jonathan Marchessault · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
