Florida Panthers
FLA · 2-2-0
3–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
290817324
TOR
0911407130
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 2-2-0 · TOR 2-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.2 expected goals); the Panthers won 3–1. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.2, on 24 and 30 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 24 shots
TOR 3.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 17:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 19:53 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 11:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 42.
FLA 42%TOR 58%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 17:08 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 19:53 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 11:52 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.