FLA
5–2
CAR
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 8-4-1
5–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
213112210535
CAR
11111207230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 8-4-1 · CAR 8-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Panthers won 5–2. Antti Raanta allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 30 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 35 shots
CAR 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 01:20 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 03:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Uvis Balinskis · 1st 18:53 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 07:08 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 16:40 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 13:18 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 16:18 · 5–2 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 57.
FLA 57%CAR 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 01:20 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 03:01 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Uvis Balinskis · 1st 18:53 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 07:08 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 16:40 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 13:18 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 16:18 · EN · 5–2
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
