Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-5-1
5–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-11-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21321317533
EDM
27112010329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 12-5-1 · EDM 5-11-1 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Oilers
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Panthers erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Mikkola's equalizer — and won 5–3. Calvin Pickard allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 29 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 33 shots
EDM 3.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.6
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 05:59 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evander Kane · 1st 09:00 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 10:36 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Niko Mikkola · 1st 15:53 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:00 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (42%)
6
Niko Mikkola · 2nd 06:08 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 13:42 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Sam Bennett · 3rd 19:17 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 39.
FLA 39%EDM 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 05:59 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evander Kane · 1st 09:00 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 10:36 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Niko Mikkola · 1st 15:53 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:00 · PS · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (42%)
6
Niko Mikkola · 2nd 06:08 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 13:42 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Sam Bennett · 3rd 19:17 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.