Florida Panthers
FLA · 14-8-2
3–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 10-7-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
116111118345
NYI
1821316427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 14-8-2 · NYI 10-7-6 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Islanders
The Panthers created the better chances (3.7 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Anthony Stolarz allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 45 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 3.7 xG · 45 shots
NYI 2.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anders Lee · 1st 12:36 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 13:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 04:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 09:12 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 13:14 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 03:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 09:36 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 75.
FLA 75%NYI 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anders Lee · 1st 12:36 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 13:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 04:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 09:12 · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 13:14 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 03:43 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 09:36 · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Julien Gauthier, Bo Horvat · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
42/45 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.