Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-8-2
5–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 14-7-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21111129531
DAL
11101339433
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 15-8-2 · DAL 14-7-3 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Stars
The Panthers earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, and a 5–4 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 31 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 3.6 xG · 31 shots
DAL 2.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
1.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 04:39 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Radek Faksa · 1st 13:42 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 18:14 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 00:24 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Mason Marchment · 3rd 00:39 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 04:15 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 04:52 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 08:00 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Thomas Harley · 3rd 12:26 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 63.
FLA 63%DAL 37%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 04:39 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Radek Faksa · 1st 13:42 · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 18:14 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 00:24 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Mason Marchment · 3rd 00:39 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 04:15 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 04:52 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 08:00 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Thomas Harley · 3rd 12:26 · PP · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.