Florida Panthers
FLA · 16-8-2
3–1
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 11-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
07113213333
PIT
01111104126
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 16-8-2 · PIT 11-12-3 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Penguins
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Panthers won 3–1. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 3.3 xG · 33 shots
PIT 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Reilly Smith · 2nd 08:05 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 2nd 17:04 · 1–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 06:10 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 19:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 54.
FLA 54%PIT 46%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Reilly Smith · 2nd 08:05 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 2nd 17:04 · 1–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 06:10 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.