Florida Panthers
FLA · 18-12-2
1–4
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 16-15-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
011115012138
STL
0531217424
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 18-12-2 · STL 16-15-1 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Blues
The Panthers created the better chances (3.9 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Joel Hofer stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 38 and 24 shots on goal.
FLA 3.9 xG · 38 shots
STL 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.5 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 04:50 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 07:46 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 13:47 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
4
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 16:43 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 16:51 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 80.
FLA 80%STL 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 04:50 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 07:46 · GWG · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 13:47 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
4
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 16:43 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 16:51 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.