FLA
4–1
MTL
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 22-12-2
4–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 15-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
04111311426
MTL
0513011119
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 22-12-2 · MTL 15-15-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Canadiens
The Panthers earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Panthers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 26 and 19 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 26 shots
MTL 1.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 04:05 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 07:01 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 07:34 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 15:26 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 17:13 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 66.
FLA 66%MTL 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 04:05 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 07:01 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 07:34 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 15:26 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 17:13 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
4
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Carter Verhaeghe · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
No penalties
Goaltending
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
