Florida Panthers
FLA · 27-13-2
1–4
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 22-15-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
07113016136
NJD
2121515422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 27-13-2 · NJD 22-15-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers fell to the Devils
The Panthers created the better chances (3.7 to 1.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Nico Daws stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.3, on 36 and 22 shots on goal.
FLA 3.7 xG · 36 shots
NJD 1.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Holtz · 1st 03:50 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 14:45 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Erik Haula · 2nd 03:51 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:27 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
John Marino · 3rd 19:41 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 85.
FLA 85%NJD 15%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Holtz · 1st 03:50 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 14:45 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Erik Haula · 2nd 03:51 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:27 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
John Marino · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.