FLA
2–3
DET
Final / OT · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 27-13-4
2–3
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 23-16-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
01021301100234
DET
091101911329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 27-13-4 · DET 23-16-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers fell to the Red Wings
The Panthers created the better chances (4.0 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Larkin's goal. Alex Lyon stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 4.0 xG · 34 shots
DET 1.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 05:38 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 11:40 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 11:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 06:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Dylan Larkin · OT 01:09 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 86.
FLA 86%DET 14%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 05:38 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 11:40 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 11:56 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 06:15 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Dylan Larkin · OT 01:09 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
