Florida Panthers
FLA · 27-14-4
4–6
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 19-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0927219435
MIN
15310211626
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
FLA 27-14-4 · MIN 19-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
Panthers fell to the Wild
The Panthers created the better chances (3.6 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 4–6. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 3.6 xG · 35 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 02:49 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 00:35 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 03:22 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Brock Faber · 2nd 07:36 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 10:32 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 18:27 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (34%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 00:41 · 2–5 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
8
Anton Lundell · 3rd 08:05 · 3–5 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
9
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 08:23 · 4–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 19:48 · 4–6 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 64.
FLA 64%MIN 36%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 02:49 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 00:35 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 03:22 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Brock Faber · 2nd 07:36 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 10:32 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 18:27 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (34%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 00:41 · PP · GWG · 2–5
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
8
Anton Lundell · 3rd 08:05 · 3–5
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
9
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 08:23 · 4–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 4–6
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
5
Joel Eriksson Ek, Kirill Kaprizov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/10 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.