FLA
4–2
WSH
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 32-15-4
4–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 22-20-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
013212216441
WSH
1131406223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 32-15-4 · WSH 22-20-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Capitals
The Panthers earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 41 and 23 shots on goal.
FLA 4.4 xG · 41 shots
WSH 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.2
2nd
1.2 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 16:38 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 04:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 14:03 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:32 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 14:28 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 19:06 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 82.
FLA 82%WSH 18%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 16:38 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 04:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 14:03 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:32 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 14:28 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Michael Sgarbossa, Aliaksei Protas · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
