Florida Panthers
FLA · 37-15-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 23-27-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
1111901212334
OTT
0100102901230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 37-15-4 · OTT 23-27-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.3 to 2.9 expected goals); the Panthers won it in overtime on Lundell's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 30 shots on goal.
FLA 3.3 xG · 34 shots
OTT 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 00:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brandon Montour · 2nd 17:01 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 05:36 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 08:46 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Anton Lundell · OT 01:36 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 56.
FLA 56%OTT 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 00:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brandon Montour · 2nd 17:01 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 05:36 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 08:46 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Anton Lundell · OT 01:36 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.