FLA
3–2
WSH
Final / OT · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 38-16-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 26-21-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
0411111113329
WSH
08181503224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
FLA 38-16-4 · WSH 26-21-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
Panthers beat the Capitals
The Panthers earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, and they won it in overtime on Forsling's goal. The Capitals scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.
FLA 3.3 xG · 29 shots
WSH 2.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
OT
0.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Cousins · 2nd 04:03 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 18:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tom Wilson · 3rd 10:11 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 16:30 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Gustav Forsling · OT 03:41 · 3–2 · slap shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 64.
FLA 64%WSH 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Cousins · 2nd 04:03 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 18:31 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tom Wilson · 3rd 10:11 · PP · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 16:30 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Gustav Forsling · OT 03:41 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
