FLA
3–2
BUF
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 39-16-4
3–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 27-28-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21101818337
BUF
1908113230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 39-16-4 · BUF 27-28-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Sabres
The Panthers earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.9, and a 3–2 win to show for it. The Panthers owned the 2nd period, 1.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 30 shots on goal.
FLA 3.1 xG · 37 shots
BUF 1.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 09:25 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 12:54 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 15:36 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Montour · 3rd 09:41 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 12:44 · 3–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 71.
FLA 71%BUF 29%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 09:25 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 12:54 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 15:36 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Montour · 3rd 09:41 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 12:44 · 3–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
1st period
3
Carter Verhaeghe, Brandon Montour · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
