Florida Panthers
FLA · 40-16-4
4–3
Final / SOW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 23-28-9
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
FLA
11111418021435
MTL
1111919020331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
FLA 40-16-4 · MTL 23-28-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
Panthers beat the Canadiens
The Panthers earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, and they won it in a shootout. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
FLA 4.3 xG · 35 shots
MTL 2.9 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 07:01 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nick Suzuki · 1st 08:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 19:59 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Alex Newhook · 3rd 03:27 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 13:05 · 3–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 70.
FLA 70%MTL 30%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 07:01 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nick Suzuki · 1st 08:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:08 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Juraj Slafkovský · 2nd 19:59 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Alex Newhook · 3rd 03:27 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 13:05 · SH · 3–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Panthers
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.