Florida Panthers
FLA · 43-17-4
1–2
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 33-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
01311007130
PHI
0618112226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
FLA 43-17-4 · PHI 33-23-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
Panthers fell to the Flyers
Chances were even (1.9 to 1.9 expected goals); the Panthers lost 1–2. Hathaway's winner came with 0:22 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 1.9 xG · 30 shots
PHI 1.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 00:10 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 07:12 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 19:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 51.
FLA 51%PHI 49%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 00:10 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 07:12 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 19:38 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.