FLA
5–1
CGY
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 44-17-4
5–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 31-27-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0841914531
CGY
01011708135
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 44-17-4 · CGY 31-27-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers beat the Flames
The Panthers were outchanced (4.2 to 3.4 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Anthony Stolarz stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
FLA 3.4 xG · 31 shots
CGY 4.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.3
2nd
1.6 · 1.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 05:51 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 06:19 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 13:12 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 14:55 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 04:30 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 38.
FLA 38%CGY 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 05:51 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 06:19 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 13:12 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 14:55 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 04:30 · SH · 5–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
5
Gustav Forsling, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
