FLA
3–5
TBL
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 45-19-4
3–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 36-25-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
012218120350
TBL
2112312516
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 45-19-4 · TBL 36-25-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers fell to the Lightning
The Panthers created the better chances (4.3 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 50 and 16 shots on goal.
FLA 4.3 xG · 50 shots
TBL 2.1 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
3rd
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 00:20 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 13:21 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
3
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 03:02 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 06:59 · 0–4 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:23 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 11:55 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 16:08 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:28 · 3–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 81.
FLA 81%TBL 19%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 00:20 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 13:21 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
3
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 03:02 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 06:59 · PP · GWG · 0–4
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:23 · SH · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 11:55 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 16:08 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 3–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
47/50 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
