Florida Panthers
FLA · 46-21-5
3–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 42-16-15
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
280815321
BOS
1111426421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–3
FLA 46-21-5 · BOS 42-16-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–3
Panthers fell to the Bruins
The Panthers created the better chances (2.6 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Zacha's winner came with 2:21 left. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.9, on 21 and 21 shots on goal.
FLA 2.6 xG · 21 shots
BOS 1.9 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 00:27 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (44%)
2
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 17:43 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 18:56 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 15:59 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 09:53 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Trent Frederic · 3rd 15:38 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 17:39 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 63.
FLA 63%BOS 37%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 00:27 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (44%)
2
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 17:43 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 18:56 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 15:59 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 09:53 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Trent Frederic · 3rd 15:38 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 17:39 · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Matthew Tkachuk · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.