FLA
2–3
NYI
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 46-22-5
2–3
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 31-26-15
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1915014228
NYI
1621305324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
FLA 46-22-5 · NYI 31-26-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
Panthers fell to the Islanders
The Panthers created the better chances (2.3 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.6, on 28 and 24 shots on goal.
FLA 2.3 xG · 28 shots
NYI 1.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.2
2nd
0.3 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 08:13 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Pulock · 1st 13:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 06:32 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 08:43 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 10:42 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 63.
FLA 63%NYI 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 08:13 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Pulock · 1st 13:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 06:32 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 08:43 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 10:42 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
1
Aleksander Barkov, Dmitry Kulikov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–0
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Casey Cizikas · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
