FLA
3–2
BUF
Final / OT · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 51-24-6
3–2
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 38-37-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
21301101612342
BUF
280140601229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
FLA 51-24-6 · BUF 38-37-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
Panthers beat the Sabres
The Panthers earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, and they won it in overtime on Reinhart's goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, on 42 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 4.1 xG · 42 shots
BUF 1.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 0.1
OT
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyson Jost · 1st 02:59 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 05:02 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 08:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Jack Quinn · 1st 09:48 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Sam Reinhart · OT 03:58 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 82.
FLA 82%BUF 18%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyson Jost · 1st 02:59 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 05:02 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 08:11 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Jack Quinn · 1st 09:48 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Sam Reinhart · OT 03:58 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
