Florida Panthers
FLA · 52-24-6
5–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 46-25-10
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0642917542
TOR
2140408226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
FLA 52-24-6 · TOR 46-25-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Panthers beat the Maple Leafs
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Panthers erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Bennett's equalizer — and won 5–2. The Panthers owned the 2nd period, 2.7 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 42 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 3.5 xG · 42 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.6
2nd · the swing
2.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 03:25 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 11:18 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 10:32 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 10:42 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Montour · 2nd 13:42 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 17:40 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 60.
FLA 60%TOR 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 03:25 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 11:18 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 10:32 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 10:42 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Montour · 2nd 13:42 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 17:40 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Gustav Forsling, Matthew Tkachuk · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–2
6
Aleksander Barkov, Vladimir Tarasenko · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.