Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-2
1–5
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
09114016139
BOS
0143728529
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Panthers trail the series 0–1
FLA 4-2 · BOS 5-3 · Game 1 — the Panthers trail the series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Bruins
The Panthers created the better chances (3.1 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Jeremy Swayman stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 39 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 3.1 xG · 39 shots
BOS 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 11:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 12:52 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Mason Lohrei · 2nd 16:17 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 19:39 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 07:13 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 16:38 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 62.
FLA 62%BOS 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 11:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 12:52 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Mason Lohrei · 2nd 16:17 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 19:39 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 07:13 · 1–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 16:38 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
5
James van Riemsdyk, Mason Lohrei · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.