FLA
6–1
BOS
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 5-2
6–1
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
07314312633
BOS
160603115
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
FLA 5-2 · BOS 5-4 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Panthers beat the Bruins
The Panthers earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.2, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Linus Ullmark allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.2, on 33 and 15 shots on goal.
FLA 4.1 xG · 33 shots
BOS 1.2 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.7 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Charlie Coyle · 1st 12:12 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 01:56 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 09:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 19:58 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:28 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 10:52 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Brandon Montour · 3rd 11:58 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 90.
FLA 90%BOS 10%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Charlie Coyle · 1st 12:12 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 01:56 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 09:49 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 19:58 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:28 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 10:52 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Brandon Montour · 3rd 11:58 · SH · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
