Florida Panthers
FLA · 10-5
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 10-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
01121401312340
NYR
113051500223
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
FLA 10-5 · NYR 10-4 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Panthers beat the Rangers
The Panthers earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Reinhart's goal. The Panthers owned the 2nd period, 1.4 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 40 and 23 shots on goal.
FLA 3.2 xG · 40 shots
NYR 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.3
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 08:51 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:45 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 12:16 · 2–1 · bat shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 03:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Sam Reinhart · OT 01:12 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 66.
FLA 66%NYR 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 08:51 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:45 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 12:16 · PP · 2–1
Bat shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 03:28 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Sam Reinhart · OT 01:12 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.