FLA
2–1
NYR
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-5
2–1
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 10-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
113011110234
NYR
090916124
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Panthers lead the series 4–2
FLA 12-5 · NYR 10-6 · Game 6 — the Panthers lead the series 4–2
Panthers beat the Rangers
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Panthers won 2–1. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 34 and 24 shots on goal.
FLA 2.5 xG · 34 shots
NYR 2.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Bennett · 1st 19:10 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 09:08 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 18:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 59.
FLA 59%NYR 41%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Bennett · 1st 19:10 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 09:08 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 18:20 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
