FLA
3–0
EDM
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-5
3–0
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 12-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
141816318
EDM
01201307032
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Panthers lead the series 1–0
FLA 13-5 · EDM 12-7 · Game 1 — the Panthers lead the series 1–0
Panthers beat the Oilers
The Panthers were outchanced (3.9 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 3–0 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 3.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 18 shots on goal.
FLA 1.7 xG · 18 shots
EDM 3.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
2nd
0.6 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 03:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 02:16 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 19:55 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 17.
FLA 17%EDM 83%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 03:59 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 02:16 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 3.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
