FLA
3–5
EDM
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-7
3–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
06216110332
EDM
11031014524
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Panthers lead the series 3–2
FLA 15-7 · EDM 14-9 · Game 5 — the Panthers lead the series 3–2
Panthers fell to the Oilers
The Panthers created the better chances (3.4 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.9, on 32 and 24 shots on goal.
FLA 3.4 xG · 32 shots
EDM 1.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
2.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Brown · 1st 05:30 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 01:58 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:00 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:53 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Corey Perry · 2nd 11:54 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 12:08 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
7
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 3rd 04:04 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:41 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 74.
FLA 74%EDM 26%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Brown · 1st 05:30 · SH · 0–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 01:58 · PP · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:00 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:53 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Corey Perry · 2nd 11:54 · PP · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 12:08 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
7
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 3rd 04:04 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
