FLA
2–1
EDM
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 16-8
2–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 15-10
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1711004221
EDM
160909124
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Panthers lead the series 4–3
FLA 16-8 · EDM 15-10 · Game 7 — the Panthers lead the series 4–3
Panthers beat the Oilers
The Panthers were outchanced (2.5 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 24 and 21 shots on goal.
FLA 1.7 xG · 21 shots
EDM 2.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 04:27 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 06:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 15:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 35.
FLA 35%EDM 65%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 04:27 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 06:44 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 15:11 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
