FLA
4–3
VGK
Final / OT · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-2-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 3-2-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
01321511516449
VGK
171131501326
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 4-2-1 · VGK 3-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Golden Knights
The Panthers earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, and they won it in overtime on Forsling's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 49 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 3.3 xG · 49 shots
VGK 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
OT
0.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tanner Pearson · 1st 19:27 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:09 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Keegan Kolesar · 2nd 14:15 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 19:20 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brett Howden · 3rd 07:30 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 12:43 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
7
Gustav Forsling · OT 04:43 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 62.
FLA 62%VGK 38%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tanner Pearson · 1st 19:27 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:09 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Keegan Kolesar · 2nd 14:15 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 19:20 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brett Howden · 3rd 07:30 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 12:43 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
7
Gustav Forsling · OT 04:43 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Carter Verhaeghe, Anton Lundell · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
45/49 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
