FLA
4–2
DAL
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-3-1
4–2
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1716212425
DAL
092907225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 9-3-1 · DAL 7-4-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.3 expected goals); the Panthers won 4–2. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
FLA 2.1 xG · 25 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 14:45 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:47 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 11:22 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Matt Duchene · 2nd 11:56 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
A.J. Greer · 3rd 02:32 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:00 · 4–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 45.
FLA 45%DAL 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 14:45 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:47 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 11:22 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Matt Duchene · 2nd 11:56 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
A.J. Greer · 3rd 02:32 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 4–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
