Florida Panthers
FLA · 11-5-1
2–6
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 12-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
191909227
NJD
2122928629
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
FLA 11-5-1 · NJD 12-6-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–2
Panthers fell to the Devils
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Panthers lost 2–6. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 27 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 2.5 xG · 27 shots
NJD 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 10:01 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Jesper Boqvist · 1st 12:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 1st 19:58 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:45 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 05:56 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a great chance (42%)
6
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 19:49 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 03:50 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 14:48 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 49.
FLA 49%NJD 51%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 10:01 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Jesper Boqvist · 1st 12:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 1st 19:58 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:45 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 05:56 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot, a great chance (42%)
6
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 19:49 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 03:50 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 14:48 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.