Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-8-1
4–7
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 12-9-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
2715119431
COL
1841027725
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 12-8-1 · COL 12-9-0 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.3 expected goals); the Panthers lost 4–7. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
FLA 2.8 xG · 31 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 00:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 09:13 · 1–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 15:44 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 00:34 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 04:04 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Samuel Girard · 2nd 08:54 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:58 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 18:40 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 15:49 · 3–6 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 17:15 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Anton Lundell · 3rd 18:17 · 4–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 58.
FLA 58%COL 42%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 00:52 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 09:13 · 1–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 15:44 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 00:34 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 04:04 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Samuel Girard · 2nd 08:54 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:58 · GWG · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 18:40 · PP · 3–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 15:49 · 3–6
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 17:15 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Anton Lundell · 3rd 18:17 · 4–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
6
Mikko Rantanen, Valeri Nichushkin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/24 saves · 6 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.