Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-9-1
5–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 13-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
2101925524
TOR
0911005124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 13-9-1 · TOR 13-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.1 to 1.8 expected goals); the Panthers won 5–1. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 1.8, on 24 and 24 shots on goal.
FLA 2.1 xG · 24 shots
TOR 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 04:46 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 05:36 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:04 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:31 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 14:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:32 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 56.
FLA 56%TOR 44%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 04:46 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 05:36 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:04 · SH · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:31 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 14:37 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:32 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.