Florida Panthers
FLA · 22-12-2
0–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 19-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
08018010036
TBL
3150717429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 22-12-2 · TBL 19-11-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers fell to the Lightning
The Panthers created the better chances (3.2 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 0–4. Jonas Johansson stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 3.2 xG · 36 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:56 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 09:20 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 16:24 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 14:18 · 0–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 60.
FLA 60%TBL 40%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:56 · GWG · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 09:20 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 16:24 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 14:18 · EN · 0–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/36 saves · 0 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.