Florida Panthers
FLA · 23-14-2
1–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 23-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0619011126
CAR
11601628340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 23-14-2 · CAR 23-13-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers fell to the Hurricanes
The Panthers created the better chances (2.8 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 26 and 40 shots on goal.
FLA 2.8 xG · 26 shots
CAR 2.3 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brent Burns · 1st 00:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 2nd 02:17 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 12:30 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:32 · 1–3 · tip in shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 59.
FLA 59%CAR 41%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brent Burns · 1st 00:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 2nd 02:17 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 12:30 · GWG · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:32 · EN · 1–3
Tip in shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.