FLA
2–5
DET
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 26-17-3
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 21-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
11119023243
DET
163915520
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 26-17-3 · DET 21-19-4 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Red Wings
The Panthers created the better chances (3.8 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.5, on 43 and 20 shots on goal.
FLA 3.8 xG · 43 shots
DET 1.5 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 08:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 11:01 · 1–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:52 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 08:21 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 13:44 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Marco Kasper · 2nd 15:41 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 18:38 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 84.
FLA 84%DET 16%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 08:48 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 11:01 · 1–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:52 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 08:21 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 13:44 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Marco Kasper · 2nd 15:41 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 18:38 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Erik Gustafsson, Vladimir Tarasenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/4 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
